Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000605 0.000688 0.000777 0.000878 0.000989 0.001108 0.001244
2025-11-09 0.000473 0.000589 0.000720 0.000879 0.001064 0.001273 0.001525
2025-11-16 0.000386 0.000512 0.000661 0.000850 0.001080 0.001349 0.001684
2025-11-23 0.000323 0.000453 0.000615 0.000828 0.001096 0.001418 0.001832
2025-11-30 0.000281 0.000416 0.000589 0.000824 0.001129 0.001505 0.001999
2025-12-07 0.000249 0.000386 0.000568 0.000823 0.001163 0.001592 0.002167
2025-12-14 0.000219 0.000355 0.000544 0.000814 0.001183 0.001659 0.002309
2025-12-21 0.000192 0.000326 0.000518 0.000800 0.001195 0.001714 0.002436
2025-12-28 0.000179 0.000317 0.000519 0.000823 0.001255 0.001834 0.002650
2026-01-04 0.000166 0.000305 0.000514 0.000836 0.001303 0.001937 0.002842
2026-01-11 0.000149 0.000285 0.000496 0.000829 0.001320 0.001999 0.002980
2026-01-18 0.000133 0.000266 0.000477 0.000818 0.001331 0.002051 0.003106
2026-01-25 0.000123 0.000255 0.000470 0.000825 0.001369 0.002142 0.003289
2026-02-01 0.000112 0.000242 0.000459 0.000826 0.001397 0.002220 0.003454
2026-02-08 0.000097 0.000220 0.000432 0.000799 0.001381 0.002233 0.003528
2026-02-15 0.000085 0.000201 0.000410 0.000777 0.001372 0.002256 0.003615
2026-02-22 0.000077 0.000190 0.000399 0.000774 0.001391 0.002318 0.003760
2026-03-01 0.000070 0.000181 0.000390 0.000773 0.001413 0.002387 0.003916
2026-03-08 0.000063 0.000170 0.000377 0.000764 0.001422 0.002434 0.004039
2026-03-15 0.000056 0.000158 0.000362 0.000751 0.001423 0.002470 0.004147
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000157 0.000366 0.000772 0.001481 0.002594 0.004389
2026-03-29 0.000051 0.000153 0.000366 0.000785 0.001524 0.002697 0.004601
2026-04-05 0.000046 0.000145 0.000355 0.000778 0.001535 0.002748 0.004734